currently in: United Kingdom

forecasts

7 questions · as of 2026-09-12

resolved

2025-01-21

Will Donald Trump have a positive net favorability rate on December 20, 2025, according to 538?

resolved no

32%

2025-01-21

On December 31, 2025, will Google, Meta, Amazon, Tesla, or X accept crypto as a payment?

resolved no

80%

2025-01-21

Will any rationalist, effective altruist, or AI safety researcher go on the Joe Rogan Experience before 2026?

resolved yes

74%

2025-01-21

Will a new war or a substantial escalation to a previous war kill at least 5,000 people in 2025?

resolved no

9%

2025-01-21

Will Nvidia outperform the S&P 500 in 2025?

resolved yes

55%

2025-01-21

Will US residents be able to order Starbucks delivery using one of these major AI interfaces before 2026?

resolved annulled

37%

2025-01-21

Will there be a leadership change in any of United States' foreign adversaries in 2025?

resolved no

35%